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Table 3 Summary of the accuracy (AUC) and discriminatory ability (Brier score) of the predictive model at each time period

From: Machine learning algorithms to estimate 10-Year survival in patients with bone metastases due to prostate cancer: toward a disease-specific survival estimation tool

Model

AUC (95% CI)

Brier Score (95% CI)

1-Year

0.76 (0.61–0.91)

0.07 (0.02–0.12)

2-Year

0.73 (0.60–0.85)

0.17 (0.12–0.22)

3-Year

0.86 (0.79–0.94)

0.19 (0.16–0.21)

4-Year

0.82 (0.73–0.91)

0.20 (0.18–0.22)

5-Year

0.79 (0.69–0.89)

0.19 (0.15–0.23)

10-Year

0.79 (0.65–0.93)

0.14 (0.09–0.19)

  1. AUC area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, CI confidence interval
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BMC Cancer

ISSN: 1471-2407

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