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Table 5 Probability of an individual classified based on its risk score (after applying the score derived from Phase 1 to the validation cohort, Phase 2). The cut-off points were selected using the ‘AddFor’ algorithm (see methods)

From: Prediction of advanced colonic neoplasm in symptomatic patients: a scoring system to prioritize colonoscopy (COLONOFIT study)

Score

Prob (Control group)*

Prob (AA)

Prob (CRC)

Prob (Control group)*

(95% CI)

Prob (AA+CRC)

(95% CI)

> 20

0.34

0.34

0.32

0.34 (0.28; 0.39)

0.66 (0.51; 0.76)

10–20

0.76

0.16

0.07

0.76 (0.65; 0.86)

0.24 (0.14; 0.31)

≤10

0.90

0.09

0.01

0.90 (0.84; 0.97)

0.10 (0.01; 0.16)

  1. *Control group: Non-AA, non-CCR