From: Evaluating diagnostic strategies for early detection of cancer: the CanTest framework
Phases of the CanTest Framework | POPULATION | TEST | COMPARATORS | OUTCOMES | Examples | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CA125 for detecting ovarian cancer | CytoSponge™ for detecting Barrett’s Oesophagus (at high risk for oesophageal adenocarcinoma) | CancerSEEK biomarker panel for detecting 8 common cancer types | |||||
DEFINITIONS/background | Cancer Antigen (CA)125 is a serum biomarker for epithelial ovarian cancer. It is utilized in strategies to distinguish benign from malignant pelvic masses pre-surgery and in the triage of women in primary care. It has been evaluated as part of screening strategies but is not currently used in that setting. | A non-endoscopic ‘sponge on a string’ test, used for the diagnosis of oesophageal squamous carcinomas in high-risk areas, was adapted for Barratt’s Oesophagus (BO) by combining it with immunocytology | A blood test to detect 8 common cancer types through assessment of the levels of circulating proteins and mutations in cell-free DNA | ||||
Phase 1 Selection of test and initial measures of single test performance | Highly selected | single | Reference standard | Performance | |||
Analytic validity | Multiple studies e.g. Bast et al. 1983a: assay developed and threshold set (> 35 U/ml); 1% of healthy patients and 82% of patients with ovarian carcinomas have levels > 35 U/ml. Mongia et al. 2006b: Comparison of 6 CA125 assays; acceptable performance and comparability. | Lao-Sirieix et al. 2009j: Trefoil factor 3 (TFF3) expressed to high levels in BO compared to normal oesophagus or gastric mucosa; sensitivity 78%, specificity 94% | Cohen et al. 2018n: For non-metastatic cancers: sensitivity 69–98% for 5 cancer types; specificity > 99% | ||||
Diagnostic accuracy | Multiple studies e.g. Jacobs et al. 1989c: Pooled sensitivity for ovarian cancer 85%. | N/A | N/A | ||||
Phase 2 Measures of clinical test performance | Highly selecte | Single | Reference | performance | |||
Diagnostic accuracy | d | Multiple studies e.g. Maggino et al. 1994d: Sensitivity 78.3%, specificity 82% for ovarian cancer in patients with a pelvic mass. | Ross-Innes et al, 2015k: Sensitivity 79.9%, specificity 92.4% for BO in patients referred with dyspepsia and reflux symptoms. | N/A | |||
Internal validity / reproducibility | Multiple studies e.g. Medeiros et al. 2009e: systematic review, Area Under the Curve of 0.9 for distinguishing malignant/borderline and benign tumours. | N/A | N/A | ||||
Phase 3 Impact on clinical decision-making & health outcomes | Selected/Real-world | Single/combinations | Reference/ usual care | Medical decision making | |||
Diagnostic accuracy | N/A | Kadri et al, 2010l. Accuracy for BO in primary care: sensitivity 90% & specificity 93.5% for clinically relevant segments of 2 cm or more compared with gastroscopy. | N/A | ||||
Effects on patients | N/A | Kadri et al, 2010l. Acceptable for patients, and no adverse events. | N/A | ||||
Effects on clinicians | Moss et al. 2013f: Explored GP views on CA125 use in Primary care. | N/A | |||||
Effects on diagnostic triage / Incorporation into diagnostic strategies | Gilbert et al. 2012g: Pilot study of symptom triggered ‘screening’ strategy incorporating CA125 and ultrasound. Study arm patients had more frequently resectable tumours than the control arm (usual care). Definitive results awaited. | N/A | N/A | ||||
Phase 4 Effectiveness of new diagnostic strategy on clinical outcomes | Real-world | Single/combinations | Usual care | MDM/harms | |||
Effectiveness & cost-effectiveness | NICE 2011h: cost effectiveness comparison of different triaging strategies incorporating CA125. | Offman et al, 2018m: BEST3 randomised trial underway comparing the Cytosponge-TFF3 test with usual care to facilitate diagnosis of oesophageal pre-cancer in primary care patients with chronic acid reflux. | N/A | ||||
Patient safety & quality | Goff et al. 2012i: Small study; symptom based testing in primary care resulted in minimal additional unnecessary procedures. | N/A | N/A | ||||
Over-diagnosis | N/A | N/A | N/A | ||||
Phase 5 Implementation & effects at healthcare & population level | Real-world | Pop health & costs | |||||
Effects on health system | N/A | N/A | N/A | ||||
Effects on population | N/A | N/A | N/A |