Skip to main content

Table 2 Age-adjusted liver cancer mortality rates joinpoint trends by population group, sex and age group in South Africa; 1999–2015

From: Liver cancer mortality trends in South Africa: 1999–2015

Direction

Sex

Population Group

Age, Years

Trend 1

Trend 2

Period

APC (95% CI)

Period

APC (95% CI)

1. Significant Decrease

 

Men

 

Black

20–29

1999–2015

− 2.3* (− 4.2, − 0.4)

  

Black

40–49

1999–2015

− 1.1* (− 2.2, 0)

  

Women

 

White

60–69

1999–2015

−2.6* (− 4.9, − 0.3)

  

White

70+

1999–2015

−3.5* (− 4.9, − 2.1)

  

2. Non-significant Decrease

 

Men

Black

70+

1999–2015

−1.3 (− 2.5, 0)

  
 

White

70+

1999–2015

−0.7 (− 2.2, 0.9)

  

Women

 

Black

20–29

1999–2015

−1.5 (−4.2, 1.4)

  
 

Black

40–49

1999–2015

−0.9 (− 2, 0.1)

  
 

White

50–59

1999–2015

−0.9 (−3.8, 2.1)

  

3. Stable

 

Men

 

Black

30–39

1999–2015

−0.2 (−1.5, 1.1)

  

White

40–49

1999–2015

−0.5 (−4.5, 3.6)

  

White

50–59

1999–2015

−0.1 (−2.6, 2.5)

  

White

60–69

1999–2015

0.4 (−1.2, 2)

  

Women

 

Black

30–39

1999–2015

−0.2 (−1.9, 1.6)

  

Black

70+

1999–2015

−0.1 (−1.2, 1)

  

White

40–49

1999–2015

−0.2 (−8.9, 9.2)

  

4. Non-significant Increase

 

Men

 

Black

50–59

1999–2010

−3.7* (−5.3, −2.2)

2010–2015

5.4 (− 0.1, 11.2)

Black

60–69

1999–2009

−5.2* (−7.3, − 3)

2009–2015

2.5 (− 2.4, 7.6)

5. Significant Increase

 

Women

 

Black

50–59

1999–2004

−5.2 (− 10.4, 0.4)

2004–2015

2.6* (0.8, 4.4)

Black

60–69

1999–2009

−4.9* (− 6.9, − 2.8)

2009–2015

6.3* (1.5, 11.3)

  1. *The annual percent change (APC) is statistically significant (p < 0.05)