Skip to main content

Table 1 Joinpoint analysis of age-standardised liver cancer mortality rates by sex and age group in South Africa; 1999–2015

From: Liver cancer mortality trends in South Africa: 1999–2015

All

 

Trend 1

Trend 2

Trend 3

Age (Years)

AAPC (95% CI)

Range of Years

APC

Range of Years

APC

Range of Years

APC

Men

 Overall

0.3 (− 1.2, 1.8)

1999–2004

2.1 (− 0.7, 5)

2004–2009

−4.9* (− 8.6, − 1.1)

2009–2015

3.4* (1.2, 5.6)

 20–29

−3.2* (− 4.9, − 1.4)

1999–2015

−3.2* (− 4.9, − 1.4)

    

 30–39

−1.8* (− 3, − 0.6)

1999–2015

−1.8* (− 3, − 0.6)

    

 40–49

−2.1* (− 3.2, − 1.1)

1999–2015

−2.1* (− 3.2, − 1.1)

    

 50–59

−1.8* (− 3.3, − 0.3)

1999–2010

− 3.7* (− 5, − 2.4)

2010–2015

2.6 (− 2, 7.3)

  

 60–69

−3.4* (− 4.4, − 2.4)

1999–2015

−3.4* (− 4.4, − 2.4)

    

 70+

− 2.3* (− 3.3, − 1.3)

1999–2015

−2.3* (− 3.3, − 1.3)

    

Women

 Overall

0.8 (−0.6, 2.2)

1999–2002

5.6 (−0.6, 12.2)

2002–2009

−2.7* (− 4.7, − 0.7)

2009–2015

2.6* (0.6, 4.8)

 20–29

−1.5 (− 3.1, 0.1)

1999–2015

−1.5 (− 3.1, 0.1)

    

 30–39

−1.4 (−3, 0.3)

1999–2015

− 1.4 (− 3, 0.3)

    

 40–49

−1.7* (− 2.4, − 1)

1999–2015

−1.7* (− 2.4, − 1)

    

 50–59

−0.9 (−1.9, 0)

1999–2015

− 0.9 (− 1.9, 0)

    

 60–69

−2.6* (− 3.9, − 1.3)

1999–2009

− 4.4* (− 5.8, − 3)

2009–2015

0.5 (− 2.7, 3.7)

  

 70+

− 2.3* (− 3, − 1.5)

1999–2015

−2.3* (− 3, − 1.5)

    
  1. *The average annual percentage change (AAPC) and/or annual percent change (APC) is statistically significant (p < 0.05)