From: Validation of the CancerMath prognostic tool for breast cancer in Southeast Asia
 | N | Observed deaths in 5 years | Predicted deaths in 5 years | Mortality Ratio (95 % CI) | Observed 5-year survival (%) (std err) | Predicted 5-year survival (median) (%) | Absolute difference (%) (95 % CI) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 4517 | 752 | 667 | 1.13(1.05,1.21) | 83.4 (0.006) | 87.3 | 3.9 (2.7,5.1) |
 Ethnicity | |||||||
 Chinese | 3340 | 488 | 478 | 1.02(0.93,1.12) | 85.4 (0.006) | 88.0 | 2.6 (1.4,3.8) |
 Malay | 654 | 143 | 104 | 1.38(1.16,1.62) | 78.1 (0.016) | 85.8 | 7.7 (4.6,10.8) |
 Indian | 430 | 109 | 71 | 1.54(1.26,1.85) | 74.7 (0.021) | 85.1 | 10.4 (6.3,14.5) |
 Other | 93 | 12 | 14 | 0.86(0.44,1.50) | 87.1 (0.035) | 87.3 | 0.2 (−6.7,7.1) |
Country | |||||||
 Malaysia | 2143 | 423 | 331 | 1.28(1.16,1.41) | 80.3 (0.009) | 86.1 | 5.8(4.0,7.6) |
 Singapore | 2374 | 329 | 336 | 0.98(0.88,1.09) | 86.1 (0.007) | 88.6 | 2.5(1.1,3.9) |
Period of diagnosis | |||||||
 1990–1994 | 140 | 41 | 22 | 1.86(1.34,2.53) | 70.7 (0.038) | 85.9 | 15.2 (7.8,22.6) |
 1995–1999 | 564 | 116 | 75 | 1.55(1.28,1.86) | 79.8 (0.017) | 87.9 | 8.1 (4.8,11.4) |
 2000–2003 | 1800 | 279 | 261 | 1.07(0.95,1.20) | 84.5 (0.009) | 87.8 | 3.3 (1.5,5.1) |
 2004–2007 | 2013 | 316 | 309 | 1.02(0.91,1.14) | 84.3 (0.008) | 87.2 | 2.9 (1.3,4.5) |
Age at diagnosis | |||||||
 0–39 | 493 | 101 | 64 | 1.58(1.29,1.92) | 79.5 (0.018) | 88.8 | 9.3(5.8,12.8) |
 40–49 | 1430 | 172 | 163 | 1.06(0.90,1.23) | 88.0 (0.009) | 90.6 | 2.6(0.8,4.4) |
 50–59 | 1412 | 224 | 194 | 1.15(1.01,1.32) | 84.1 (0.010) | 88.2 | 4.1(2.1,6.1) |
 60–69 | 776 | 126 | 130 | 0.97(0.81,1.15) | 83.8 (0.013) | 85.1 | 1.3(−1.2,3.8) |
 70+ | 406 | 129 | 117 | 1.10(0.92,1.31) | 68.2 (0.023) | 73.9 | 5.7 (1.2,10.2) |
Tumor size (mm) | |||||||
 0–20 | 1889 | 151 | 173 | 0.87(0.74,1.02) | 92.0 (0.006) | 92.9 | 0.9(−0.3,2.1) |
 21–50 | 2180 | 438 | 374 | 1.17(1.06,1.29) | 79.9 (0.009) | 84.8 | 4.9 (3.1,6.7) |
 51+ | 448 | 163 | 121 | 1.35(1.15,1.57) | 63.6 (0.023) | 73.6 | 10.0(5.5,14.5) |
Number of positive nodes | |||||||
 0 | 2408 | 196 | 238 | 0.82(0.71,0.95) | 91.9 (0.006) | 91.7 | −0.2(−1.4,1.0) |
 1–3 | 1068 | 195 | 165 | 1.18(1.02,1.36) | 81.7 (0.012) | 85.9 | 4.2(1.8,6.6) |
 4–9 | 533 | 159 | 122 | 1.30(1.11,1.52) | 70.2 (0.020) | 78.0 | 7.8(3.9,11.7) |
 10+ | 354 | 170 | 116 | 1.47(1.25,1.70) | 52.0 (0.027) | 67.4 | 15.4(10.1,20.7) |
 Unknown | 154 | 32 | 27 | 1.19(0.81,1.67) | 79.2 (0.033) | 86.6 | 7.4(0.9,13.9) |
ER status | |||||||
 Negative | 1595 | 392 | 268 | 1.46(1.32,1.61) | 75.4 (0.011) | 85.2 | 9.8 (7.6,12.0) |
 Positive | 2668 | 309 | 367 | 0.84(0.75,0.94) | 88.4 (0.006) | 88.8 | 0.4(−0.8,1.6) |
 Unknown | 254 | 51 | 33 | 1.55(1.15,2.03) | 79.9 (0.025) | 88.6 | 8.7(3.8,13.6) |
PR status | |||||||
 Negative | 1674 | 382 | 289 | 1.32(1.19,1.46) | 77.2 (0.010) | 84.8 | 7.6(5.6,9.6) |
 Positive | 2174 | 241 | 285 | 0.85(0.74,0.96) | 88.9 (0.007) | 89.5 | 0.6(−0.8,2.0) |
 Unknown | 669 | 129 | 93 | 1.39(1.16,1.65) | 80.7 (0.015) | 87.4 | 6.7 (3.8,9.6) |
Her2 status | |||||||
 Negative | 1483 | 208 | 210 | 0.99(0.86,1.13) | 86.0 (0.009) | 88.0 | 2.0(0.2,3.8) |
 Equivocal | 118 | 19 | 19 | 1.00(0.60,1.56) | 83.9 (0.034) | 87.4 | 3.5(−3.2,10.2) |
 Positive | 790 | 172 | 147 | 1.17(1.00,1.36) | 78.2 (0.015) | 83.0 | 4.8(1.9,7.7) |
 Unknown | 2126 | 353 | 292 | 1.21(1.09,1.34) | 83.4 (0.008) | 88.7 | 5.3(3.7,6.9) |
Histology | |||||||
 Ductal | 3951 | 696 | 597 | 1.17(1.08,1.26) | 82.4 (0.006) | 87.0 | 4.6 (3.4,5.8) |
 Lobular | 180 | 17 | 26 | 0.65(0.38,1.05) | 90.6 (0.022) | 87.5 | −3.1(−7.4,1.2) |
 Mucinous | 156 | 10 | 14 | 0.71(0.34,1.31) | 93.6 (0.020) | 94.7 | 1.1(−2.8,5.0) |
 Others | 227 | 29 | 30 | 0.97(0.65,1.39) | 87.2 (0.022) | 89.5 | 2.3(−2.0,6.6) |
 Unknown | 3 | 0 | 0 | - | 100 | 86.8 | −13.2 |
Grade | |||||||
 1 | 552 | 20 | 44 | 0.45(0.28,0.70) | 96.4 (0.008) | 94.7 | −1.7(−3.3,–0.1) |
 2 | 1882 | 261 | 265 | 0.98(0.87,1.11) | 86.1 (0.008) | 88.2 | 2.1(0.5,3.7) |
 3 | 1591 | 402 | 288 | 1.40(1.26,1.54) | 74.7 (0.011) | 84.3 | 9.6(7.4,11.8) |
 Unknown | 492 | 69 | 70 | 0.99(0.77,1.25) | 86.0 (0.016) | 87.4 | 1.4(−1.7,4.5) |