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Table 4 Univariate and multivariate analysis of variable factors for overall survival and recurrence-free survival

From: Selection criteria for radiofrequency ablation for colorectal liver metastases in the era of effective systemic therapy: a clinical score based proposal

  

Overall survival

Recurrence-free survival

  

Univariate analysis

Multivariate analysis

Univariate analysis

Multivariate analysis

Variable

No. of patients

Median months (95% CI)

5-years, % (95% CI)

p-value

p-value

HR

HR 95% CI

Median months (95% CI)

5-years % (95% CI)

p-value

p-palue

HR

HR 95% CI

Age

   

0.8381

     

0.4263

   

 ≤ 60 years

16

19 (14–37)

8.3 (0.6-30.2)

    

8 (5–13)

13.3 (2.2-34.6)

    

 > 60 years

72

25 (18–31)

12.4 (5.8-21.5)

    

8 (6–10)

5.6 (1.8-12.5)

    

Gender

   

0.6264

     

0.8117

   

 Male

57

23 (17–30)

10.5 (3.9-28.4)

    

7 (5–11)

7.1 (2.3-15.8)

    

 Female

31

24 (15–37)

14.3 (4.6-29.3)

    

9 (6–11)

6.5 (1.1-18.6)

    

Primary tumor

   

0.1872

     

0.7773

   

 Colon

69

19 (16–27)

8.6 (3.3-17.2)

    

8 (6–10)

5.9 (1.9-13.2)

    

 Rectum

19

33 (23–58)

23.7 (7.2-45.5)

    

7 (4–13)

10.5 (1.8-28.4)

    

Node status

   

0.8512

     

0.4566

   

 Positive

65

25 (19–32)

11.4 (5.0-2.8)

    

8 (6–10)

6.2 (2.0-13.8)

    

 Negative

23

18 (14–33)

13.0 (2.6-32.3)

    

10 (5–13)

9.1 (1.6-25.1)

    

CLM

   

0.9861

     

0.2889

   

 Synchronous

22

20 (18–35)

9.1 (1.6-25.1)

    

10 (7–13)

4.5 (0.3-18.9)

    

 Metachronous

66

26 (16–32)

12.4 (5.4-22.4)

    

7 (5–10)

7.7 (2.8-15.8)

    

CEA level before RFA

   

0.0189

0.0325

    

0.0062

0.0442

  

 ≤ 100 ng/ml

51

29 (19–37)

15.3 (6.7-27.0)

    

10 (8–12)

9.8 (3.6-19.7)

    

 > 100 ng/ml

37

15 (11–25)

6.9 (1.4-19.1)

  

1.672

1.044-2.678

6 (4–7)

2.8 (0.2-12.4)

  

1.637

1.013-2.647

Maximum size of CLM

   

0.0001

0.0939

    

<0.0001

0.0771

  

 ≤ 3 cm

61

30 (23–36)

15.3 (7.2-26.1)

    

10 (8–11)

9.8 (4.0-18.8)

    

 3-5 cm

27

12 (10–19)

3.8 (0.3-16.4)

  

1.548

0.928-2.581

5 (4–6)

0

  

1.600

0.950-2.694

Number of CLM

   

<0.0001

<0.0001

    

0.0093

0.0389

  

 1-3

67

27 (21–36)

15.6 (7.8; 25.9)

    

8 (7–11)

9.0 (3.6-17.2)

    

 4-5

21

12 (10–18)

0

  

3.128

1.771-5.526

5 (4–10)

0

  

1.771

1.029-3.048

Response to systemic therapy before RFA

   

<0.0001

0.0005

    

<0.0001

<0.0001

  

 Partial remission

49

37 (32–48)

21.6 (10.9-34.7)

    

11 (10–13)

12.5 (5.1-23.4)

    

 Stable disease

13

19 (15–25)

0

    

8 (6–10)

0

    

 Progressive disease

26

10 (9–11)

0

  

5.456

2.289-13.005

4 ()

0

  

6.458

2.644-15.78

  1. Abbreviations: 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; CLM, colorectal liver metastases; HR, Hazard ratio; RFA, radiofrequency ablation.