Table 15 Inverse-variance weighted regression analyses – ever smokers

Overall deviance (d.f.)

42483 (128)

3257 (42)

2618 (42)

6005 (90)

644 (37)

1228 (37)

Drop in deviance (d.f.) and associated p value^a from including:

Trend^b (1 d.f.)

14470***

927***

1257***

2425***

205***

602***

Continent^c (3 d.f.)

6245***

454

594*

914**

38

224(*)

Trend given continent (1 d.f.)

17056***

1117***

1169***

2278***

196***

514***

Continent given trend (3 d.f.)

8831***

644**

505***

767***

29

136*

Residual deviance^d (d.f.)

19181 (124)

1687 (38)

855 (38)

2813 (86)

410 (33)

490 (33)

Deviance explained

54.9%

48.2%

67.3%

53.2%

36.3%

60.1%

Means (SEs)^d:

Constant

4.80 (0.16)

4.57 (0.30)

2.36 (0.41)

3.58 (0.27)

3.12 (0.41)

1.20 (0.60)

Trend

0.27 (0.03)

0.21 (0.04)

0.62 (0.09)

0.51 (0.06)

0.37 (0.09)

0.84 (0.14)

Asia (not China)

-0.22 (0.18)

-0.51 (0.33)

-0.14 (0.30)

-0.58 (0.34)

-0.72 (0.49)

-0.52 (0.49)

Europe

0.67 (0.14)

0.31 (0.28)

-0.44 (0.29)

-0.37 (0.17)

-0.14 (0.29)

-0.68 (0.39)

America

0.44 (0.14)

0.23 (0.27)

0.31 (0.25)

0.14 (0.14)

-0.19 (0.22)

0.18 (0.24)

Drop in deviance and p value^a from adding:^e

10 level region^f (6 d.f.)

6944***

368

336**

620**

114

84

5 level period^g (3 d.f.)

9002***

666***

279**

477**

54

15

Interactions of trend and continent (3 d.f.)

3825***

78

46

603***

84(*)

80