Goodness of fit | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Singapore | Sweden | Geneva | ||||||||||
(Negative binomial) | (Negative binomial) | (Negative binomial) | ||||||||||
Model | Res Dev* | Df# | AIC§ | P-value | Res Dev | DF | AIC | P-value | Res Dev | DF | AIC | P-value |
Age (A) | 31.5 | 42 | 473 | 0.882 | 24.4 | 42 | 817 | 0.632 | 38.3 | 42 | 500 | 0.986 |
Age-Drift (AD) | 7.2 | 41 | 451 | 0.999 | 6.6 | 41 | 802 | 0.999 | 14.6 | 41 | 478 | 0.999 |
Age-Period (AP) | 5.6 | 36 | 460 | 0.999 | 3.7 | 36 | 809 | 0.999 | 12.1 | 36 | 485 | 0.999 |
Age-Cohort (AC) | 6.4 | 30 | 472 | 0.999 | 2.9 | 30 | 820 | 0.999 | 6.1 | 30 | 491 | 0.999 |
Full APC | 5.0 | 25 | 481 | 0.999 | 2.0 | 25 | 829 | 0.999 | 5.1 | 25 | 500 | 0.999 |
Likelihood ratio test | ||||||||||||
Model | Dev | DF | P-value | Dev | DF | P-value | Dev | DF | P-value | |||
(H 0 vs H 1 ) | ||||||||||||
AP vs APC | 0.6 | 11 | 0.999 | 1.7 | 11 | 0.999 | 7.0 | 11 | 0.800 | |||
AC vs APC | 1.4 | 5 | 0.925 | 0.9 | 5 | 0.972 | 1.0 | 5 | 0.959 |