Skip to main content

Table 4 Comparison of individualised prognostics predictions of 10 and 15 year overall survival and treatment benefit outcomes (radical treatment versus conservative management) based on the Predict Prostate algorithm (https://prostate.predict.nhs.uk) using either clinical based characterisation (DRE + systematic sampling only) versus MRI based characterisation (MRI staging and combined MRI targeted and systematic sampling)

From: Assessing the impact of MRI based diagnostics on pre-treatment disease classification and prognostic model performance in men diagnosed with new prostate cancer from an unscreened population

10-year survival outcome

No change in predicted outcome

288 (81.3%)

(n = 354)

 

Number with a change

66 (18.7%)

Range of change in survival

-20% to 9%

Mean change in survival

-1.86%

Median change in survival

-1.0%

10-year treatment benefit

No change in estimated benefit

302 (85.4%)

 

Number with a change

52 (14.6%)

Range of change in benefit

-4 to 8%

Mean change in benefit

-1.05%

Median change in benefit

-1.0%

15-year survival outcome

No change in predicted outcome

279 (78.8%)

(n = 354)

 

Number with a change

75 (21.2%)

Range of change in survival

-27% to 9%

Mean change in survival

-2.4%

Median change in survival

-2%

15-year treatment benefit

No change in estimated benefit

288 (81.3%)

 

Number with a change

66 (18.7%)

Range of change in benefit

-4 to 10%

Mean change in benefit

1.1%

Median change in benefit

1.0%