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Table 3 Predictors of Survival Among Patients with HER2+ Breast Cancer and Brain Metastasis

From: Prognostic factors of brain metastasis and survival among HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer patients: a systematic literature review

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Predictors for Shorter Time to Death (i.e., Survival) After BM Diagnosis

HER2+ Group

Sample Size, n

Median Time to Death After BM Diagnosis, mo

Age

HR Status

No. of Brain Lesions

Anti-HER2 Therapy

Any Systemic Treatment

Other

Ahn et al., 2013 [17]

Without trastuzumab

39

19.1a

NR

NR

NR

No trastuzumab vs. trastuzumab

NR

NR

With trastuzumab

47

26.9a

Anders et al., 2011 [15]

HR-

18

14.3 (95% CI, 3.2–36.2)

No association

No association

NR

NR

NR

Race (no association)

HR+

21

15.2 (95% CI, 7.8–40.4)

Anwar et al., 2021 [32]

All

39

13.93 (95% CI 10.53–20.67)b

NR

No association

NR

NR

NR

▪ Number of prior lines of therapy (no association)

▪ Liver metastasis (no association)

▪ Lung metastasis (no association)

▪ Bone metastasis (no association)

Bergen et al., 2021 [19]

All

252

Before 2000: 12

2000–2010: 11

After 2010: 22

Included in DS-GPA but not reported independently

Included in DS-GPA but not reported independently

NR

▪ No HER2-targeted therapy vs. therapy with trastuzumab + pertuzumab, or trastuzumab alone, or lapatinib alone, or T-DM1 alone

▪ Other HER2-targeted therapy vs. trastuzumab + pertuzumab

▪ No HER2-targeted therapy vs. trastuzumab + lapatinib (no association)

NR

▪ DS-GPA

▪ Time period (year) of initial BC diagnosis (<  2000, 2000–2010, >  2010) (no association)

Berghoff et al., 2012 [30]

All

102

7 (95% CI, 4.3–969)

NR

NR

NR

▪ Local therapyc alone vs. trastuzumab-based therapy after local therapy

NR

NR

Braccini et al., 2013 [36]

All

109

11.9 (95% CI, 8.7–15.5)

NR

No association

NR

▪ No anti-HER2 therapy vs. anti-HER2 therapy

▪ Trastuzumab alone or lapatinib alone vs. trastuzumab + lapatinib (sequentially)

NR

NR

Brufsky et al., 2011 [31]

All

377

13.0 (range, 0.1–55.5)d

No association

No association

NR

▪ No trastuzumab vs. trastuzumab

▪ No chemotherapy vs. chemotherapy

▪ No surgery vs. surgery

▪ Radiotherapy – no association

▪ ECOG PS ≥ 2 vs. 0 or 1

▪ CNS disease at mBC diagnosis vs. no CNS disease at mBC diagnosis

Duchnowska et al., 2012 [21]

All

142

28 (95% CI, 16–32)

NR

NR

NR

▪ NR

NR

NR

Gori et al., 2019 [24]

All

154

24.5

≥ 60 y vs. <  60 y at BM diagnosise

No association

>  3 vs. 1–3 BMse

▪ Systemic therapy without HER2-targeted agents or no systemic therapy vs. HER2-targeted agents

NR

▪ WBRT or no local treatment vs. surgery and/or SRS

▪ KPS ≤ 7 0 vs. >  70

▪ Presence of neurologic symptoms

Hayashi et al., 2015 [25]

ER+

162

16.5 (95% CI, 11.9–21.1)

NR

No association

>  3 vs. ≤ 3 BMs

▪ Neither trastuzumab nor lapatinib vs. at least one of these after BM diagnosis

▪ Either trastuzumab alone, lapatinib alone, or no HER2-targeting agent vs. trastuzumab and lapatinib after BM diagnosis

NR

NR

ER-

270

11.5 (95% CI, 9.1–13.8)

Heitz et al., 2009 f [29]

All

245

11

NR

NR

NR

▪ NR

NR

▪ NR

Jang et al., 2011 [34]

All

137

5.2 (95% CI, 3.6–6.8)

NR

NR

NR

▪ NR

NR

▪ NR

Kaplan et al., 2012 [33]

ER−/PR-

102

11.04 (95% CI, 6.18–15.90)

≥ 46 y vs. <  46 y at BM diagnosise (suggestive association in multivariable analyses)

No association

>  3 vs. ≤ 3 BMse (suggestive association in multivariable analyses)

▪ Trastuzumab- or lapatinib-based therapy alone vs. trastuzumab- and lapatinib-based therapy (sequential)

▪ Trastuzumab-based therapy alone vs. lapatinib-based therapy alone

NR

▪ KPS ≤ 70 vs. >  70

▪ Tumor grade 3 vs. grade 1–2

▪ ≥ 2 vs. <  2 metastatic sites outside the brain

▪ No neurosurgery vs. neurosurgery

▪ No radiosurgery vs. radiosurgery

Luminal Bf

113

9.99 (95% CI, 4.99–14.98)

Kuba et al., 2014 [35]

All

26

23 (95% CI, 14–31)

No association

NR

No association

▪ NR

NR

▪ PS ≥ 2 vs. 0/1

▪ Undergoing surgery or SRS (no association)

Martin et al., 2017 [38]

HR+

136

21 (IQR: 6-not reached)g

NR

NR

NR

▪ NR

NR

▪ NR

HR-

106

10 (IQR: 4–27)g

Maurer et al., 2018 [26]

All

483

20.8 (IQR: 5.36-not reached)

NR

NR

NR

▪ No association

NR

▪ CNS symptomsh vs. no CNS symptoms at BM diagnosis

Morikawa et al., 2018 [27]

All

100

19.4 (95% CI, 15.5–26.6)

No association

No association

Multiple lesions vs. single lesion

▪ No anti-HER2 use vs. anti-HER2 use after BM diagnosis

▪ No anti-HER2 use vs. lapatinib use after BM diagnosis

NR

▪ KPS < 70 vs. ≥ 70

▪ Neurologic symptoms vs. no neurologic symptoms

▪ Uncontrolled extracranial disease vs. controlled

Mounsey et al., 2018 [20]

All

123

18.1 (95% CI, 14.9–24.6)

NR

NR

NR

▪ No HER2-targeted therapy vs. HER2-targeted therapy after BM diagnosis

NR

▪ NR

Niwinska et al., 2010 [39]

All

109

9 (range, 0.6–3.4)

NR

NR

NR

▪ No systemic therapy or chemotherapy without trastuzumab vs. chemotherapy with trastuzumab

WBRT alone vs. systemic therapyi after WBRT

▪ KPS < 70 vs. ≥ 70

▪ RPA RTOG Prognostic class III vs. class I/II

▪ Visceral metastasis vs. no visceral metastasis

Sperduto et al., 2013 [37]

HR+

98

22.9 (95% CI, 16.1–29.5)

NR

NR

NR

▪ NR

NR

▪ NR

HR-

119

17.9 (95% CI, 13.4–22.9)

Witzel et al., 2018 [16]

All

732

11.6 (95% CI, 10.0–13.4)

NR

NR

NR

▪ NR

NR

▪ NR

Yap et al., 2012 [18]

All

280

10.9 (95% CI, 9.0–11.9)

Older age vs. younger age at BM

NR

Multiple lesions vs. single lesion

▪ No anti-HER2 treatment vs. anti-HER2 treatment after BM diagnosis

▪ No anti-HER2 treatment or trastuzumab alone vs. lapatinib alone after BM diagnosis

▪ No anti-HER2 treatment vs. trastuzumab alone after BM diagnosis

▪ Anti-HER2 therapy before BM (no association with survival after BM)

▪ No chemotherapy vs. receipt of chemotherapy after BM diagnosis

▪ No hormonal therapy vs. receipt of hormonal therapy after BM

▪ NR

Zhang et al., 2016 [28]

All

60

12 (range, 1–94)

<  50 y vs. ≥ 50 y at BM diagnosise

No association

Multiple lesions vs. single lesione

▪ No anti-HER2 therapy after WBRT vs. anti-HER2 therapy after WBRT

▪ No systemic therapy, anti-HER2 therapy alone, or chemotherapy alone after WBRT vs. both anti-HER2 therapy and chemotherapy after WBRT

[See “Anti-HER2 therapy” column]

▪ Uncontrolled extracranial metastasis vs. controlled

▪ KPS < 70 vs. ≥ 70e

▪ Total dose radiotherapy (no association)e

▪ Time from BC diagnosis to BM diagnosis (no association)e

  1. BC breast cancer; BM brain metastasis; CI confidence interval; CNS central nervous system; DS-GPA diagnosis specific graded prognostic assessment
  2. Score (includes BC subtype, age < 60 or > 60 years, Karnofsky performance status), ECOG Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group; ER estrogen receptor; HER2 human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; HR hormone receptor; IQR interquartile range; KPS Karnofsky performance score; mBC metastatic breast cancer; NR not reported; PR progesterone receptor; PS performance status; RPA RTOG recursive partitioning analysis of Radiation Therapy Oncology Group prognostic class; SRS stereotactic radiosurgery; T-DM1 trastuzumab emtansine; WBRT whole-brain radiotherapy
  3. a Time from diagnosis of distant metastasis
  4. b Represents median time to death after start of pyrotinib therapy
  5. c Local therapy for BM including surgery and/or radiotherapy
  6. d Overall survival after BM for all patients diagnosed with BM, including patients who presented with BM at the time of their mBC diagnosis (n = 75 [19.9%]; overall survival after diagnosis was 20.3 months [range, 1.0–55.5]) and patients who were diagnosed with BM after their mBC diagnosis (n = 302 [80.1%]; overall survival after BM diagnosis was 9.6 months [range, 0.1–54.5])
  7. e Based on univariable analyses only
  8. f Luminal B subtype is defined as HER2+ status with ER+ and/or PR+
  9. g Survival defined as the time between BC diagnosis and death
  10. h The most common symptoms were headaches (50.0%), nausea and vomiting (25.0%), confusion and memory impairment (18.2%), paresis (18.2%), aphasia and dysarthria (6.8%), and seizures (6.8%)
  11. i Includes chemotherapy, endocrine therapy, and HER2-targeted therapy