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Table 3 Univariate and multivariate analysis of predictive factors for pCR in LARC patients (n = 901)

From: Worse treatment response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in young patients with locally advanced rectal cancer

Variables

Univariate analysis

Multivariate analysis

HR

95% CI

p value

HR

95% CI

p value

Sex (male vs. female)

1.351

0.973–1.875

0.073

   

Age (≥40 years vs. < 40 years)

2.087

1.020–4.269

0.044

2.382

1.105–5.137

0.027

ASA

0.964

0.686–1.353

0.831

   

Distance from the anal verge

0.919

0.856–0.986

0.018

0.949

0.878–1.025

0.181

Tumor size

  ≤ 1.8 cm

Reference

Reference

< 0.001

Reference

Reference

< 0.001

 1.9–3.1 cm

6.764

4.019–11.385

< 0.001

5.806

3.412–9.878

< 0.001

  ≥ 3.2 cm

2.022

1.212–3.373

0.007

1.853

1.101–3.119

0.020

Time interval between NCRT and surgery

1.041

0.988–1.097

0.131

   

Pre-NCRT cT stage

0.731

0.553–0.967

0.031

0.816

0.607–1.097

0.177

Pre-NCRT cN stage

0.550

0.338–0.895

0.016

0.560

0.332–0.943

0.029

Post-NCRT CEA level

0.381

0.224–0.647

< 0.001

0.873

0.805–0.946

0.001

Post-NCRT CA19–9 level

0.492

0.219–1.101

0.084

   

Chemotherapy regimen

1.083

0.783–1.499

0.630

   

Radication dose reduction

0.978

0.360–2.653

0.965

   

NCRT complications

0.900

0.641–1.264

0.542

   
  1. pCR Pathological complete response; NCRT Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy; HR Hazard ratio; CI Confidential interval; ASA American Society of Anesthesiologists; CEA Carcinoembryonic Antigen; CA19–9 Carbohydrate Antigen 19–9