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Table 1 Annual Percent Changes of Gastrointestinal Cancers in East Azerbaijan, from 2004 to 2015

From: A 12-year trend analysis of the incidence of gastrointestinal cancers in East Azerbaijan: last updated results of an ongoing population-based cancer registry

Cancer Site

Overall 12 years (2004–2015)

Segment 1

Segment 2

Segment 3

APC (%)

Lower CI

Upper CI

P Value

APC (%)

Lower CI

Upper CI

APC (%)

Lower CI

Upper CI

APC (%)

Lower CI

Upper CI

Esophagus

 Both

-3

−6.1

0.2

0.05

5.9

−6.7

20.3

−16.2

−51.3

44.2

4.5

−21.3

38.7

 Male

−0.4

−3.8

3.0

0.19

6.8

−12.3

30.2

−8.5

−40.2

40.0

8.6

−51.0

140.4

 Female

−1.1

−3.6

1.5

0.10

0.9

−5.9

8.2

−11.0

−44.1

41.6

20.1

−21.2

83.3

Stomach

 Both

1.8

−3.4

7.2

0.01

29.5

−24.7

122.7

−9.4

−26.2

11.2

36.1

−37.0

194.0

 Male

3.2

−3.0

9.7

0.17

38.0

−50.3

283.7

−7.4

−30.9

24.0

34.8

−56.7

320.3

 Female

1.3

−3.4

6.2

0.00

−11.1

−45.5

44.8

−3.7

−12.5

6.0

45.1

−8.0

128.9

Colorectal

 Both

7.6

2.7

12.7

0.13

23.4a

1.8

49.5

−9.6

−49.4

61.7

16.8

−10.2

51.8

 Male

10.2a

5.5

15.1

0.11

46.6

−22.7

177.9

0.7

−22.1

30.1

18.4

−14.8

64.6

 Female

9.7a

5.7

13.8

0.19

18.7a

6.3

32.6

−3.4

−41.7

60.1

18.6

−21.1

78.4

Anus

 Both

−0.2

−8.7

9.0

0.14

13.7a

0.2

29.0

−34.2

−68.8

39.1

57.9

−21.6

218.2

 Male

0.9

−10.8

14.1

0.38

17.5

−9.1

51.9

−35.8

−90.1

317.5

55.1

− 73.9

821.3

 Female

4.3

−1.3

10.2

0.02

45.4

−43.7

275.5

−1.9

−13.6

11.4

20.6

−38.5

136.7

Gallbladder

 Both

3.5

−7.1

15.2

0.00

22.6a

9.6

37.1

−63.0

−89.1

26.0

266.1a

8.9

1130.8

 Male

6.0

−4.2

17.3

0.07

13.5

−4.0

34.2

−55.3

−92.0

149.7

269.7

−62.4

3534.0

 Female

–

–

–

–

–

–

–

–

–

–

–

–

–

Liver

 Both

17.2

6.2

29.3

0.00

−6.4

−40.5

47.3

−1.2

−8.8

7.0

138.2a

76.9

220.7

 Male

21.3a

9.4

34.4

0.00

−14.5

−54.6

60.8

4.4

−6.4

16.5

139.9a

62.4

254.2

 Female

16.3a

5.6

28.0

0.02

−1.1

−14.1

13.9

−6.9

−56.8

100.7

148.0a

45.6

322.7

Pancreas

 Both

28.6a

15.2

43.6

0.02

−3.3

−45.6

72.2

22.9

−49.6

199.8

98.7

−24.2

421.2

 Male

33.5a

17.8

51.3

0.05

2.3

−43.4

84.9

38.4

−84.9

1167.2

98.3

−48.3

659.7

 Female

28.5a

17.2

41.0

0.02

−14.2

− 78.6

244.2

21.3

−16.8

76.9

90.8

−12.1

314.1

Small Intestine

 Both

7.6a

1.3

14.2

0.12

99.8

−68.9

1183.8

−1.3

−15.7

15.5

34.6

−34.4

176.4

 Male

9.3a

2.0

17.2

0.36

66.0

−91.4

3108.9

−0.1

−20.2

25.0

45.7

−47.2

302.0

 Female

9.9a

3.3

16.8

0.12

68.8

−39.1

368.0

−4.0

−53.1

96.4

14.7

−16.4

57.2

  1. aIndicate that the Annual Percent Change (APC) is significantly different from zero at alpha = 0.05