# of grade 4 toxicity events out of a sample size = 200 | Probability of exact # of grade 4 toxicity events given true rate of grade 4 toxicities = 5% | Probability of exact # of grade 4 toxicity events given true rate of grade 4 toxicities = 4% | Probability of exact # of grade 4 toxicity events given true rate of grade 4 toxicities = 3% | Probability of exact # of grade 4 toxicity events given true rate of grade 4 toxicities = 2% |
---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 0.004% | 0.03% | 0.2% | 1.8% |
1 | 0.04% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 7.2% |
2 | 0.2% | 1% | 4.3% | 14.6% |
3 | 0.7% | 2.7% | 8.8% | 19.6% |
4 | 1.7% | 5.6% | 13.4% | 19.7% |
5 | 3.6% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 15.8% |
6 | 6.1% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 10.5% |