Projected cervical Cancer incidence in Swaziland using three methods and local survey estimates

BMC Cancer

Table 3 Summary estimates of the models

Models	Estimates per 100,000	Lower bound	Upper bound
1	69.4	66.7	72.1
2a	62.6	53.7	71.8
2b	101.1	90.3	112.2
3	44.6	41.5	52.1
Triangulation 1:	58.9	54.0	65.3
Triangulation 2:	69.4	63.0	77.1
Number incident cases for female Swaziland population 30+ in 2014 (pop size 152,892)	106	96	118
Number incident cases for female Swaziland population 15+ in 2014 (pop size 318,819)	221	201	246

Model 2a: with HPV prevalence only; Model 2b: with HPV and HIV; Triangulation 1: 1+(2a+2b)+3: with HIV estimate i.e. 2a+b averaged prior to triangulation with models 1 and 3; Triangulation 2: 1+(2a+2b)+3 (with HIV estimate i.e. 2a+b averaged prior to triangulation with models 1 and 3)

ISSN: 1471-2407