Skip to main content

Table 3 Summary estimates of the models

From: Projected cervical Cancer incidence in Swaziland using three methods and local survey estimates

Models Estimates per 100,000 Lower bound Upper bound
1 69.4 66.7 72.1
2a 62.6 53.7 71.8
2b 101.1 90.3 112.2
3 44.6 41.5 52.1
Triangulation 1: 58.9 54.0 65.3
Triangulation 2: 69.4 63.0 77.1
Number incident cases for female Swaziland population 30+ in 2014 (pop size 152,892) 106 96 118
Number incident cases for female Swaziland population 15+ in 2014 (pop size 318,819) 221 201 246
  1. Model 2a: with HPV prevalence only; Model 2b: with HPV and HIV; Triangulation 1: 1+(2a+2b)+3: with HIV estimate i.e. 2a+b averaged prior to triangulation with models 1 and 3; Triangulation 2: 1+(2a+2b)+3 (with HIV estimate i.e. 2a+b averaged prior to triangulation with models 1 and 3)