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Table 2 Health states and cumulative number for a single simulated cohort of 100,000 Chinese women aged 35 years at the last year of simulation (50th year)

From: Quality assurance target for community-based breast cancer screening in China: a model simulation

Screen strategy

Well

DCIS

Stage I

StageII

Stage III

Stage IV

Die of BC

BC death avoided (%)

No BC die of other causes

DCIS die of other causes

Invasive BC die of other causes

Screen-detected

No screen

33,068

58

240

184

27

107

2187

–

63,017

88

1024

–

1/1 year

33,097

100

266

172

25

102

2010

8.8

62,986

164

1078

1698

1/2 years

33,097

79

251

173

25

102

2090

4.6

62,987

127

1069

903

1/3 years

33,097

72

246

174

25

102

2118

3.3

62,985

114

1067

580

  1. Abbreviations:DCIS; Ductal carcinoma in situ, BC; Breast cancer