Tumor type | Incidence of bone metastases (%) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
1-year (95% CI) | 2-year (95% CI) | 5-year (95% CI) | 10-year (95% CI) | |
All tumor types combined (N = 382,733) | ||||
Stage I (N = 54,305) | 0.5 (0.4–0.5) | 0.7 (0.7–0.8) | 1.5 (1.4–1.6) | 2.7 (2.4–2.9) |
Stage II (N = 47,080) | 1.1 (1.0–1.2) | 1.8 (1.7–1.9) | 3.6 (3.4–3.8) | 5.9 (5.6–6.3) |
Stage III (N = 35,289) | 2.2 (2.0–2.3) | 3.3 (3.1–3.5) | 5.4 (5.1–5.6) | 7.5 (7.1–8.0) |
Stage IV (N = 45,527) | 18.0 (17.7–18.4) | 20.3 (19.9–20.7) | 23.7 (23.3–24.1) | 27.6 (27.0–28.2) |
Breast (N = 137,720) | ||||
Stage I (N = 37,042) | 0.3 (0.3–0.4) | 0.5 (0.5–0.6) | 1.2 (1.1–1.4) | 2.4 (2.1–2.7) |
Stage II (N = 27,886) | 1.0 (0.9–1.2) | 1.8 (1.6–1.9) | 3.9 (3.7–4.2) | 6.5 (6.0–6.9) |
Stage III (N = 8720) | 2.9 (2.6–3.3) | 4.9 (4.4–5.3) | 10.1 (9.4–10.8) | 15.3 (14.1–16.5) |
Stage IV (N = 5985) | 36.4 (35.2–37.7) | 41.4 (40.2–42.7) | 50.6 (49.3–52.0) | 61.4 (59.5–63.2) |
Prostate (N = 22,801) | ||||
Stage I (N = 533) | 3.0 (1.8–4.9) | 4.4 (2.9–6.5) | 7.7 (5.4–10.8) | 12.1 (8.3–17.4) |
Stage II (N = 2737) | 3.3 (2.6–4.0) | 4.1 (3.4–4.9) | 7.3 (6.3–8.4) | 15.8 (12.0–20.6) |
Stage III (N = 591) | 9.0 (6.9–11.6) | 11.5 (9.2–14.4) | 16.4 (13.4–19.9) | 23.4 (18.7–29.0) |
Stage IV (N = 3908) | 45.3 (43.8–46.9) | 51.4 (49.9–53.0) | 61.1 (59.5–62.8) | 70.7 (68.4–72.9) |
Lung (N = 59,344) | ||||
Stage I (N = 4955) | 1.4 (1.1–1.8) | 2.3 (1.9–2.7) | 3.6 (3.0–4.2) | 5.1 (4.1–6.4) |
Stage II (N = 2603) | 2.7 (2.2–3.4) | 4.2 (3.4–5.0) | 5.6 (4.7–6.7) | 8.4 (6.9–10.4) |
Stage III (N = 7540) | 4.4 (4.0–4.9) | 5.8 (5.3–6.4) | 6.7 (6.2–7.3) | 7.4 (6.7–8.2) |
Stage IV (N = 13,487) | 22.9 (22.2–23.6) | 24.5 (23.8–25.3) | 25.8 (25.1–26.6) | 26.2 (25.4–27.0) |
Colorectal (N = 46,832) | ||||
Stage I (N = 2834) | 0.2 (0.1–0.5) | 0.4 (0.2–0.7) | 1.0 (0.7–1.5) | 1.6 (1.0–2.6) |
Stage II (N = 7105) | 0.2 (0.1–0.3) | 0.5 (0.3–0.7) | 1.0 (0.7–1.3) | 1.6 (1.1–2.2) |
Stage III (N = 9303) | 0.4 (0.3–0.5) | 0.7 (0.6–0.9) | 1.5 (1.2–1.8) | 1.9 (1.6–2.3) |
Stage IV (N = 7125) | 3.0 (2.7–3.5) | 4.1 (3.7–4.6) | 5.8 (5.2–6.4) | 6.6 (5.9–7.4) |
Gastrointestinal (N = 32,874) | ||||
Stage I (N = 1424) | 0.4 (0.2–0.9) | 0.7 (0.3–1.3) | 1.5 (0.9–2.5) | 2.2 (1.2–3.9) |
Stage II (N = 2998) | 0.7 (0.5–1.1) | 1.3 (0.9–1.7) | 2.2 (1.7–2.9) | 2.9 (2.0–4.1) |
Stage III (N = 2584) | 1.2 (0.9–1.7) | 1.9 (1.4–2.5) | 2.7 (2.1–3.4) | 2.9 (2.2–3.7) |
Stage IV (N = 5840) | 5.3 (4.7–5.9) | 6.1 (5.5–6.8) | 6.8 (6.2–7.5) | 7.4 (6.5–8.4) |
Gynecological (N = 21,075) | ||||
Stage I (N = 3922) | 0.2 (0.1–0.4) | 0.5 (0.3–0.8) | 0.9 (0.6–1.3) | 1.9 (1.1–3.2) |
Stage II (N = 1008) | 0.6 (0.3–1.3) | 1.0 (0.5–1.9) | 1.8 (1.1–3.0) | 2.0 (1.3–3.3) |
Stage III (N = 3012) | 0.7 (0.4–1.0) | 1.2 (0.9–1.7) | 2.1 (1.6–2.8) | 3.1 (1.9–5.1) |
Stage IV (N = 2076) | 4.0 (3.3–5.0) | 4.7 (3.8–5.7) | 6.2 (5.2–7.5) | 7.5 (5.9–9.6) |
Malignant melanoma (N = 12,152) | ||||
Stage I (N = 1581) | 0.2 (0.1–0.6) | 0.3 (0.1–0.7) | 0.6 (0.3–1.3) | 0.9 (0.4–1.7) |
Stage II (N = 822) | 0.7 (0.3–1.6) | 1.1 (0.6–2.1) | 1.9 (1.1–3.3) | 1.9 (1.1–3.3) |
Stage III (N = 877) | 0.6 (0.2–1.4) | 1.2 (0.6–2.1) | 1.2 (0.6–2.1) | 1.2 (0.6–2.1) |
Stage IV (N = 752) | 6.1 (4.6–8.1) | 7.4 (5.7–9.5) | 9.0 (7.1–11.5) | 10.4 (8.0–13.5) |
Renal (N = 17,717) | ||||
Stage I (N = 1654) | 0.8 (0.5–1.4) | 1.1 (0.7–1.8) | 2.4 (1.7–3.4) | 5.1 (3.4–7.6) |
Stage II (N = 1297) | 1.5 (1.0–2.4) | 2.4 (1.7–3.4) | 3.9 (2.9–5.3) | 5.0 (3.5–7.1) |
Stage III (N = 1210) | 2.1 (1.5–3.1) | 3.3 (2.4–4.5) | 5.0 (3.8–6.5) | 6.8 (5.1–9.1) |
Stage IV (N = 2668) | 15.5 (14.2–16.9) | 18.3 (16.9–19.8) | 22.3 (20.7–24.1) | 26.2 (23.6–29.0) |
Other Tumors (N = 162,868) | ||||
Stage I (N = 360) | 0.8 (0.3–2.6) | 1.7 (0.8–3.7) | 2.1 (1.0–4.4) | 5.2 (1.6–16.3) |
Stage II (N = 624) | 0.8 (0.3–1.9) | 1.3 (0.7–2.6) | 3.2 (2.0–5.3) | 4.8 (2.9–7.8) |
Stage III (N = 1452) | 0.8 (0.4–1.4) | 1.5 (1.0–2.3) | 1.9 (1.3–2.8) | 3.5 (2.1–5.7) |
Stage IV (N = 3686) | 2.7 (2.2–3.3) | 3.8 (3.2–4.5) | 4.6 (4.0–5.4) | 5.3 (4.3–6.4) |