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Table 1 Annual transition probabilities in the economic model

From: The cost-effectiveness of active surveillance compared to watchful waiting and radical prostatectomy for low risk localised prostate cancer

Transition probability

Description

Transition probabilities (Mean)

SE

Source

TP_Local-to-Localprogression_WW

From Localised to Local progression in the watchful waiting arm

0.0565

0.0098

[18, 30]

TP_ Postsurgery-to-Localprogression_RP

From Post-surgery to Local progression in the radical prostatectomy arm

0.0152+0.0012T (T: time (years) from radical prostatectomy) Additional file 1: Figure S3

Constant: 0.0026;

[18, 30]

Slope: 0.0004

Variance-covariance matrix:

 

Slope

Constant

Slope

1.80E-07

-9.89E-07

Constant

-9.89E-07

6.88E-06

TP_Local/Postsurgery-to-Metastatic

From Localised or from Post-surgery to metastases

0.0075

 

0.0010

 

[6, 30]

TP_Localprogression-to-Metastatic

From Local progression to metastases

0.0800

 

0.0050

 

[6, 30]

TP_DeathfromPC

From Metastases to death from prostate cancer

0.3221

 

0.0115

 

[19, 21]

TP_Deathfromothercauses

Death from other causes

New Zealand Period Life Tables: 2010–12

 

-

 

[31]