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Table 2 Spatio-temporal model estimates of age specific female cancer mortality in Switzerland from 1969–1972 to 2007-2010

From: 40 years of progress in female cancer death risk: a Bayesian spatio-temporal mapping analysis in Switzerland

  SMR Ratio (95 % Bayesian Credible Interval)   SMR Ratio (95 % Bayesian Credible Interval)
Age group <55 55-74 75+ Age group <55 55-74 75+
Breast cancer        Uterine cancer
 Period         Period       
 1969-1972 1.00   1.00   1.00    1969-1972 1.00   1.00   1.00  
 1979-1982 0.97 (0.89;1.06) 1.03 (0.97;1.09) 1.03 (0.95;1.12)  1979-1982 0.52 (0.38;0.71) 0.68 (0.61;0.76) 0.89 (0.77;1.03)
 1989-1992 0.90 (0.83;0.98) 1.00 (0.94;1.06) 1.22 (1.14;1.32)  1989-1992 0.33 (0.23;0.45) 0.55 (0.49;0.63) 0.88 (0.77;1.02)
 1999-2002 0.64 (0.59;0.70) 0.84 (0.80;0.89) 0.91 (0.84;0.98)  1999-2002 0.32 (0.23;0.45) 0.39 (0.35;0.45) 0.57 (0.49;0.66)
 2007-2010 0.50 (0.46;0.55) 0.77 (0.73;0.81) 0.91 (0.84;0.98)  2007-2010 0.23 (0.16;0.33) 0.33 (0.29;0.38) 0.51 (0.44;0.59)
 Language         Language       
 German 1.00   1.00   1.00    German 1.00   1.00   1.00  
 French 1.09 (0.89;1.32) 0.95 (0.83;1.09) 1.07 (0.92;1.25)  French 1.16 (0.73;1.89) 1.25 (0.99;1.63) 1.00 (0.79;1.29)
 Italian/Roman. 0.96 (0.71;1.34) 0.97 (0.77;1.22) 1.01 (0.80;1.29)  Italian/Roman. 1.10 (0.44;2.43) 0.92 (0.57;1.40) 0.93 (0.59;1.44)
 Urbanisation level         Urbanisation level       
 Rural 1.00   1.00   1.00    Rural 1.00   1.00   1.00  
 Urban 1.08 (1.00;1.18) 1.04 (0.99;1.10) 1.01 (0.96;1.07)  Urban 0.99 (0.76;1.33) 0.89 (0.81;0.99) 1.00 (0.89;1.11)
Cervical cancer        Ovarian cancer       
 Period         Period       
 1969-1972 1.00   1.00   1.00    1969-1972 1.00   1.00   1.00  
 1979-1982 0.65 (0.55;0.77) 0.80 (0.70;0.91) 0.76 (0.62;0.92)  1979-1982 0.81 (0.69;0.95) 1.04 (0.94;1.14) 1.09 (0.94;1.25)
 1989-1992 0.39 (0.32;0.46) 0.49 (0.41;0.58) 0.55 (0.45;0.68)  1989-1992 0.57 (0.48;0.68) 0.91 (0.83;1.00) 1.20 (1.05;1.38)
 1999-2002 0.18 (0.14;0.23) 0.23 (0.19;0.28) 0.34 (0.27;0.41)  1999-2002 0.37 (0.30;0.44) 0.73 (0.66;0.81) 1.06 (0.92;1.21)
 2007-2010 0.15 (0.12;0.20) 0.18 (0.14;0.22) 0.25 (0.20;0.31)  2007-2010 0.32 (0.26;0.38) 0.70 (0.63;0.77) 1.00 (0.88;1.14)
 Language         Language       
 German 1.00   1.00   1.00    German 1.00   1.00   1.00  
 French 0.98 (0.70;1.35) 0.97 (0.69;1.30) 0.95 (0.67;1.37)  French 0.91 (0.68;1.25) 0.98 (0.81;1.18) 0.93 (0.74;1.16)
 Italian/Roman. 0.81 (0.41;1.45) 1.08 (0.64;1.75) 1.47 (0.81;2.78)  Italian/Roman. 1.17 (0.64;1.92) 1.00 (0.71;1.39) 0.72 (0.50;1.06)
 Urbanisation level         Urbanisation level       
 Rural 1.00   1.00   1.00    Rural 1.00   1.00   1.00  
 Urban 1.11 (0.94;1.33) 1.07 (0.92;1.24) 1.03 (0.87;1.23)  Urban 0.85 (0.74;0.99) 1.04 (0.96;1.13) 1.13 (1.02;1.25)
  Spatial variation (95 % Bayesian Credible Interval)   Spatial variation (95 % Bayesian Credible Interval)
Age group <55 55-74 75+ Age group <55 55-74 75+
 Breast cancer 0.27 (0.22;0.33) 0.23 (0.19;0.27) 0.25 (0.21;0.29)  Uterine cancer 0.46 (0.32;0.67) 0.35 (0.28;0.44) 0.33 (0.26;0.43)
 Cervical cancer 0.41 (0.32;0.54) 0.36 (0.28;0.47) 0.41 (0.31;0.54)  Ovarian cancer 0.36 (0.27;0.46) 0.29 (0.24;0.36) 0.32 (0.26;0.41)
  1. Results from model 1 (cf. Table 3). Bold values denote Age-Standardized Mortality-Ratio (SMR) Ratios significantly different from 1. Spatial variation (standard deviation of spatial random effects): a value of 0 means that there is no spatial correlation