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Table 2 Spatio-temporal model estimates of age specific female cancer mortality in Switzerland from 1969–1972 to 2007-2010

From: 40 years of progress in female cancer death risk: a Bayesian spatio-temporal mapping analysis in Switzerland

 

SMR Ratio (95 % Bayesian Credible Interval)

 

SMR Ratio (95 % Bayesian Credible Interval)

Age group

<55

55-74

75+

Age group

<55

55-74

75+

Breast cancer

      

Uterine cancer

 Period

      

 Period

      

 1969-1972

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

 1969-1972

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

 1979-1982

0.97

(0.89;1.06)

1.03

(0.97;1.09)

1.03

(0.95;1.12)

 1979-1982

0.52

(0.38;0.71)

0.68

(0.61;0.76)

0.89

(0.77;1.03)

 1989-1992

0.90

(0.83;0.98)

1.00

(0.94;1.06)

1.22

(1.14;1.32)

 1989-1992

0.33

(0.23;0.45)

0.55

(0.49;0.63)

0.88

(0.77;1.02)

 1999-2002

0.64

(0.59;0.70)

0.84

(0.80;0.89)

0.91

(0.84;0.98)

 1999-2002

0.32

(0.23;0.45)

0.39

(0.35;0.45)

0.57

(0.49;0.66)

 2007-2010

0.50

(0.46;0.55)

0.77

(0.73;0.81)

0.91

(0.84;0.98)

 2007-2010

0.23

(0.16;0.33)

0.33

(0.29;0.38)

0.51

(0.44;0.59)

 Language

      

 Language

      

 German

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

 German

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

 French

1.09

(0.89;1.32)

0.95

(0.83;1.09)

1.07

(0.92;1.25)

 French

1.16

(0.73;1.89)

1.25

(0.99;1.63)

1.00

(0.79;1.29)

 Italian/Roman.

0.96

(0.71;1.34)

0.97

(0.77;1.22)

1.01

(0.80;1.29)

 Italian/Roman.

1.10

(0.44;2.43)

0.92

(0.57;1.40)

0.93

(0.59;1.44)

 Urbanisation level

      

 Urbanisation level

      

 Rural

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

 Rural

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

 Urban

1.08

(1.00;1.18)

1.04

(0.99;1.10)

1.01

(0.96;1.07)

 Urban

0.99

(0.76;1.33)

0.89

(0.81;0.99)

1.00

(0.89;1.11)

Cervical cancer

      

Ovarian cancer

      

 Period

      

 Period

      

 1969-1972

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

 1969-1972

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

 1979-1982

0.65

(0.55;0.77)

0.80

(0.70;0.91)

0.76

(0.62;0.92)

 1979-1982

0.81

(0.69;0.95)

1.04

(0.94;1.14)

1.09

(0.94;1.25)

 1989-1992

0.39

(0.32;0.46)

0.49

(0.41;0.58)

0.55

(0.45;0.68)

 1989-1992

0.57

(0.48;0.68)

0.91

(0.83;1.00)

1.20

(1.05;1.38)

 1999-2002

0.18

(0.14;0.23)

0.23

(0.19;0.28)

0.34

(0.27;0.41)

 1999-2002

0.37

(0.30;0.44)

0.73

(0.66;0.81)

1.06

(0.92;1.21)

 2007-2010

0.15

(0.12;0.20)

0.18

(0.14;0.22)

0.25

(0.20;0.31)

 2007-2010

0.32

(0.26;0.38)

0.70

(0.63;0.77)

1.00

(0.88;1.14)

 Language

      

 Language

      

 German

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

 German

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

 French

0.98

(0.70;1.35)

0.97

(0.69;1.30)

0.95

(0.67;1.37)

 French

0.91

(0.68;1.25)

0.98

(0.81;1.18)

0.93

(0.74;1.16)

 Italian/Roman.

0.81

(0.41;1.45)

1.08

(0.64;1.75)

1.47

(0.81;2.78)

 Italian/Roman.

1.17

(0.64;1.92)

1.00

(0.71;1.39)

0.72

(0.50;1.06)

 Urbanisation level

      

 Urbanisation level

      

 Rural

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

 Rural

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

 Urban

1.11

(0.94;1.33)

1.07

(0.92;1.24)

1.03

(0.87;1.23)

 Urban

0.85

(0.74;0.99)

1.04

(0.96;1.13)

1.13

(1.02;1.25)

 

Spatial variation (95 % Bayesian Credible Interval)

 

Spatial variation (95 % Bayesian Credible Interval)

Age group

<55

55-74

75+

Age group

<55

55-74

75+

 Breast cancer

0.27

(0.22;0.33)

0.23

(0.19;0.27)

0.25

(0.21;0.29)

 Uterine cancer

0.46

(0.32;0.67)

0.35

(0.28;0.44)

0.33

(0.26;0.43)

 Cervical cancer

0.41

(0.32;0.54)

0.36

(0.28;0.47)

0.41

(0.31;0.54)

 Ovarian cancer

0.36

(0.27;0.46)

0.29

(0.24;0.36)

0.32

(0.26;0.41)

  1. Results from model 1 (cf. Table 3). Bold values denote Age-Standardized Mortality-Ratio (SMR) Ratios significantly different from 1. Spatial variation (standard deviation of spatial random effects): a value of 0 means that there is no spatial correlation