Table 2 Univariate and adjusted risk differences for colorectal cancer and lung cancer

Patient level

Age

65 + yrs

45-64 years

6.0

(4.6 to 7.3)

<0.001

5.9

(4.6 to 7.3)

<0.001

3.1

(1.7 to 4.5)

<0.001

3.3

(1.9 to 4.6)

<0.001

15-44 years

10.3

(7.1 to 13.4)

<0.001

10.1

(6.9 to 13.3)

<0.001

4.2

(−1.5 to 9.9)

0.15

4.5

(−1.2 to 10.2)

0.12

Sex

Male

Female

0.1

(−1.1 to 1.4)

0.82

0.0

(−1.2 to 1.2)

1.00

−3.1

(−4.1 to −2.1)

<0.001

−3.3

(−4.3 to −2.3)

<0.001

Ethnicity

White

Non-white

6.7

(2.7 to 10.7)

0.001

−0.7

(−4.6 to 3.1)

0.71

Deprivation

Q1 (least deprived)

Q2

−0.4

(−2.2 to 1.4)

−0.3

(−2.1 to 1.5)

−0.5

(−2.2 to 1.3)

−0.4

(−2.2 to 1.4)

Q3

−0.3

(−2.2 to 1.5)

−0.3

(−2.1 to 1.6)

0.3

(−1.4 to 2.1)

0.4

(−1.3 to 2.1)

Q4

1.0

(−0.9 to 2.9)

0.9

(−1.0 to 2.8)

−0.3

(−2.0 to 1.4)

−0.4

(−2.1 to 1.3)

Q5 (most deprived)

1.5

(−0.6 to 3.5)

0.07

1.1

(−0.9 to 3.1)

0.14

−1.0

(−2.7 to 0.7)

0.29

−1.3

(−3.0 to 0.4)

0.13

GP demographics

Number of patients per GP

Q1 (lowest)

Q2

1.0

(−0.9 to 2.9)

1.1

(−0.8 to 3.0)

0.5

(−1.1 to 2.2)

0.6

(−1.0 to 2.2)

Q3

1.1

(−0.9 to 3.1)

1.1

(−0.9 to 3.1)

0.6

(−1.0 to 2.3)

0.7

(−0.9 to 2.3)

Q4

1.6

(−0.3 to 3.6)

1.5

(−0.4 to 3.4)

1.7

(0.1 to 3.3)

1.7

(0.2 to 3.3)

Q5 (highest)

0.4

(−1.6 to 2.4)

0.54

0.2

(−1.8 to 2.1)

0.74

2.0

(0.4 to 3.5)

0.01

1.8

(0.2 to 3.4)

0.01

Training practice

No

Yes

0.2

(−1.0 to 1.5)

0.71

0.0

(−1.2 to 1.3)

0.95

0.6

(−0.5 to 1.6)

0.27

0.6

(−0.5 to 1.6)

0.28

GPs aged 50 and over

Some

None

−1.2

(−3.5 to 1.1)

0.30

−1.4

(−3.6 to 0.9)

0.24

−2.6

(−4.3 to −0.8)

0.01

−2.5

(−4.3 to −0.7)

0.01

All

0.9

(−1.7 to 3.4)

0.52

0.5

(−2.1 to 3.1)

0.69

2.0

(−0.1 to 4.1)

0.07

2.0

(−0.1 to 4.1)

0.06

GPs female

Some

None

−0.4

(−2.7 to 1.9)

0.73

−0.8

(−3.1 to 1.6)

0.53

1.3

(−0.5 to 3.1)

0.17

1.3

(−0.5 to 3.1)

0.14

All

−3.0

(−8.2 to 2.2)

0.27

−3.5

(−8.7 to 1.7)

0.19

−4.5

(−8.4 to −0.6)

0.03

−4.6

(−8.4 to −0.7)

0.02

GPs qualified in UK

Some

None

−0.1

(−2.7 to 2.6)

0.95

−0.5

(−3.2 to 2.2)

0.71

−0.6

(−2.6 to 1.5)

0.59

−0.5

(−2.6 to 1.5)

0.61

All

−0.6

(−2.0 to 0.7)

0.35

−0.4

(−1.8 to 0.9)

0.51

−0.2

(−1.3 to 0.9)

0.68

−0.3

(−1.4 to 0.8)

0.61

GP level deprivation

Q1 (least deprived)

Q2

−1.2

(−3.1 to 0.7)

−1.4

(−3.3 to 0.6)

−1.8

(−3.5 to −0.1)

−1.8

(−3.5 to −0.1)

Q3

−1.0

(−2.9 to 0.8)

−1.3

(−3.3 to 0.7)

−0.3

(−2.0 to 1.4)

−0.6

(−2.3 to 1.2)

Q4

0.5

(−1.4 to 2.5)

−0.2

(−2.4 to 1.9)

−0.9

(−2.5 to 0.8)

−1.2

(−3.0 to 0.7)

Q5 (most deprived)

0.9

(−1.2 to 3.0)

0.17

−0.4

(−2.9 to 2.1)

1.00

−2.6

(−4.3 to −0.9)

0.03

−2.8

(−4.8 to −0.8)

0.04

GP rurality

Urban > 10 K

Town and fringe

−0.7

(−2.5 to 1.0)

0.40

−0.1

(−1.9 to 1.6)

0.87

0.0

(−1.5 to 1.5)

0.96

−0.2

(−1.7 to 1.4)

0.83

Village, hamlet & isolated dwellings

−0.3

(−3.5 to 2.8)

0.84

0.2

(−2.9 to 3.3)

0.90

0.7

(−2.5 to 3.9)

0.67

0.4

(−2.9 to 3.6)

0.82

GP general performance

Able to book appointment

90 % and over

80-90 %

0.1

(−1.2 to 1.4)

−0.1

(−1.4 to 1.2)

−0.7

(−1.7 to 0.4)

−0.5

(−1.6 to 0.6)

<80 %

1.1

(−1.3 to 3.5)

0.46

0.3

(−2.1 to 2.7)

0.95

−0.5

(−2.4 to 1.4)

0.32

−0.3

(−2.2 to 1.7)

0.52

Able to see preferred GP

80 % and over

60-80 %

−0.6

(−2.0 to 0.9)

−0.6

(−2.1 to 0.8)

−1.4

(−2.6 to −0.2)

−1.3

(−2.5 to 0.0)

<60 %

0.5

(−1.3 to 2.3)

0.65

0.1

(−1.7 to 1.9)

0.96

−1.4

(−2.8 to 0.0)

0.05

−1.2

(−2.6 to 0.2)

0.09

Total QOF points

990 to 1000 (max) points

980 to 989 points

0.1

(−1.4 to 1.7)

0.0

(−1.6 to 1.5)

−0.8

(−2.1 to 0.5)

−0.7

(−2.0 to 0.6)

960 to 979 points

0.6

(−1.2 to 2.4)

0.4

(−1.4 to 2.2)

−0.4

(−1.8 to 1.0)

−0.5

(−1.9 to 0.9)

<960 points

−0.5

(−2.5 to 1.4)

0.93

−0.9

(−2.8 to 1.1)

0.53

−0.8

(−2.4 to 0.8)

0.29

−0.7

(−2.3 to 0.9)

0.65

GP specific cancer activities

Two week wait referral rate

Q1 (lowest)

Q2

0.3

(−1.6 to 2.3)

0.6

(−1.3 to 2.5)

−1.6

(−3.2 to −0.1)

−1.6

(−3.2 to −0.1)

Q3

−0.6

(−2.5 to 1.3)

−0.3

(−2.2 to 1.7)

−2.3

(−3.8 to −0.7)

−2.3

(−3.9 to −0.8)

Q4

−0.7

(−2.6 to 1.3)

−0.2

(−2.1 to 1.8)

−2.1

(−3.7 to −0.5)

−2.0

(−3.6 to −0.5)

Q5 (highest)

−1.2

(−3.1 to 0.8)

0.13

−0.6

(−2.6 to 1.4)

0.39

−3.4

(−5.0 to −1.8)

<0.001

−3.3

(−4.9 to −1.7)

<0.001

Two week wait conversion

Q1 (lowest)

Q2

0.8

(−1.2 to 2.7)

1.0

(−1.0 to 3.0)

1.3

(−0.3 to 3.0)

1.5

(−0.1 to 3.1)

Q3

−2.5

(−4.5 to −0.5)

−2.0

(−4.0 to −0.1)

1.2

(−0.4 to 2.9)

1.3

(−0.4 to 2.9)

Q4

−1.8

(−3.7 to 0.2)

−1.3

(−3.2 to 0.7)

3.6

(2.0 to 5.2)

3.6

(2.0 to 5.2)

Q5 (highest)

0.6

(−1.3 to 2.6)

0.56

1.2

(−0.7 to 3.1)

0.96

4.1

(2.5 to 5.7)

<0.001

4.0

(2.4 to 5.6)

<0.001

Two week wait detection

Q1 (lowest)

Q2

1.5

(−0.5 to 3.4)

1.7

(−0.2 to 3.7)

−1.1

(−2.7 to 0.5)

−1.1

(−2.6 to 0.5)

Q3

0.7

(−1.2 to 2.6)

0.9

(−0.9 to 2.8)

−1.0

(−2.5 to 0.6)

−0.8

(−2.4 to 0.7)

Q4

−1.2

(−3.3 to 0.9)

−0.8

(−2.9 to 1.2)

−0.7

(−2.3 to 0.9)

−0.6

(−2.2 to 1.1)

Q5 (highest)

1.3

(−0.6 to 3.3)

0.92

1.6

(−0.4 to 3.5)

0.72

−1.3

(−2.9 to 0.3)

0.22

−1.3

(−2.9 to 0.3)

0.23

GP other activities

Average colonoscopy, sigmoidoscopy and upper GI endoscopy

T1 (lowest)

T2

−0.3

(−1.8 to 1.2)

0.0

(−1.5 to 1.5)

−1.1

(−2.4 to 0.1)

−1.1

(−2.3 to 0.2)

T3 (highest)

−2.4

(−3.9 to −0.9)

0.002

−2.0

(−3.5 to −0.5)

0.01

−0.7

(−2.0 to 0.5)

0.27

−0.5

(−1.7 to 0.8)

0.48

Emergency admissions

Q1 (lowest)

Q2

−0.2

(−2.1 to 1.8)

0.2

(−1.8 to 2.1)

0.4

(−1.3 to 2.0)

0.4

(−1.2 to 2.1)

Q3

−0.7

(−2.6 to 1.3)

−0.3

(−2.2 to 1.7)

1.0

(−0.6 to 2.7)

1.0

(−0.6 to 2.7)

Q4

−0.7

(−2.7 to 1.3)

−0.2

(−2.2 to 1.7)

0.8

(−0.8 to 2.3)

0.9

(−0.7 to 2.5)

Q5 (highest)

−0.9

(−2.8 to 1.1)

0.32

−0.3

(−2.2 to 1.7)

0.66

1.3

(−0.3 to 2.9)

0.10

1.6

(0.0 to 3.2)

0.04