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Table 1 Model comparison and goodness-of-fit for APC analyses of breast cancer by ethnic groups in Singapore 1968–2002 for ages 25 – 79.

From: Ethnic differences in the time trend of female breast cancer incidence: Singapore, 1968 – 2002

Population (N)

Model*

Deviance

df

p

AIC

Chinese Women (13,003)

Age

1534.11

66

<0.001

2058.75

 

Age + drift

177.74

65

<0.001

704.38

 

Age + period

168.92

60

<0.001

705.57

 

Age + cohort

66.76

50

0.06

623.41

 

Age + period + cohort

51.92

45

0.22

618.57

Malay Women (1,513)

Age

271.88

66

<0.001

620.98

 

Age + drift

87.03

65

0.04

438.13

 

Age + period

80.27

60

0.04

441.36

 

Age + cohort

59.38

50

0.17

440.48

 

Age + period + cohort

53.77

45

0.17

444.86

Indian Women (753)

Age

78.26

66

0.14

370.08

 

Age + drift

54.69

65

0.82

348.52

 

Age + period

53.29

60

0.72

357.11

 

Age + cohort

31.44

50

0.98

355.27

 

Age + period + cohort

29.30

45

0.97

363.12

  1. *Reference groups are: age group 25 – 29; and period 1968 – 1972 and cohort 1926 – 1930 wherever applicable.