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Table 3 Cohort effect points of change on upper gastrointestinal tract cancer mortality by sex, Spain 1952–2006

From: Trends in oral cavity, pharyngeal, oesophageal and gastric cancer mortality rates in Spain, 1952–2006: an age-period-cohort analysis

Tumour

Changes in cohort effect†

Birth year

Birth year

Birth year

(95% CI)

(95% CI)

(95% CI)

Oral cavity & pharynx

   

    Men

1910.9 (1908.4 - 1913.4)

1956.8 (1955.1 - 1958.5)

 

    Women

1921.3 (1916.3 - 1926.4)

1964.2 (1962.5 – 1966.0)

 

Oesophagus

   

    Men

1919.2 (1915.3 - 1923.2)

1950.8 (1947.9 - 1953.6)

 

    Women

1897.3 (1888.5 - 1906.2)

1929.9 (1922.8 - 1937.0)

1959.3 (1956.2 - 1962.3)

Stomach

   

    Men

1889.0 (1886.1 - 1891.9)

1940.0 (1931.9 – 1948.0)

1954.9 (1950.5 - 1959.4)

    Women

1889.5 (1884.7 - 1894.3)

1938.6 (1932.2 - 1945.0)

1956.5 (1946.5 - 1966.6)

  1. † Year of birth with significant trend change as obtained from the segmented regression analysis of cohort curvatures from the three-factor model.
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