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Table 3 Means of the probabilities of developing breast cancer and discriminatory power of the models

From: An assessment of existing models for individualized breast cancer risk estimation in a screening program in Spain

  

Gail model

Chen model

Barlow model

3-year

No cancer

0.005340

0.005320

0.015089

 

Cancer

0.005728

0.005624

0.015514

 

p-value

0.100

0.354

0.648

 

AUC

0.562 (0.481, 0.644)

0.523 (0.441, 0.604)

0.526 (0.448, 0.603)

 

C-Harrell

0.562 (0.481, 0.643)

0.523 (0.442, 0.603)

0.526 (0.449, 0.603)

5-year

No cancer

0.009226

0.009185

0.024974

 

Cancer

0.010014

0.010723

0.028571

 

p-value

0.011

< 0.001

0.002

 

AUC

0.561 (0.499, 0.623)

0.586 (0.526, 0.646)

0.575 (0.513, 0.638)

 

C-Harrell

0.561 (0.480, 0.642)

0.586 (0.526, 0.645)

0.575 (0.513, 0.637)