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Table 3 Means of the probabilities of developing breast cancer and discriminatory power of the models

From: An assessment of existing models for individualized breast cancer risk estimation in a screening program in Spain

   Gail model Chen model Barlow model
3-year No cancer 0.005340 0.005320 0.015089
  Cancer 0.005728 0.005624 0.015514
  p-value 0.100 0.354 0.648
  AUC 0.562 (0.481, 0.644) 0.523 (0.441, 0.604) 0.526 (0.448, 0.603)
  C-Harrell 0.562 (0.481, 0.643) 0.523 (0.442, 0.603) 0.526 (0.449, 0.603)
5-year No cancer 0.009226 0.009185 0.024974
  Cancer 0.010014 0.010723 0.028571
  p-value 0.011 < 0.001 0.002
  AUC 0.561 (0.499, 0.623) 0.586 (0.526, 0.646) 0.575 (0.513, 0.638)
  C-Harrell 0.561 (0.480, 0.642) 0.586 (0.526, 0.645) 0.575 (0.513, 0.637)