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Table 2 Relative and absolute risks of subsequent tobacco-related primary cancer according to type of first tobacco-related primary cancer and sex (Bavaria; 2002–2008)

From: Risk of tobacco-related multiple primary cancers in Bavaria, Germany

   

Men

 

Women

First tobacco-related primary cancer

Subsequent tobacco-related primary cancer

O

SIR (95% CI)

EAR

O

SIR (95% CI)

EAR

mouth, pharynx

oesophagus

86

19.63 (15.71-24.25)

45.6

15

48.06 (26.9-79.27)

24.7

 

stomach

24

2.87 (1.84-4.27)

8.7

2

0.93 (0.11-3.35)

−0.3

 

colon, rectum

54

1.65 (1.24-2.15)

11.9

12

1.42 (0.74-2.49)

6.0

 

pancreas

9

1.36 (0.62-2.58)

1.3

2

0.92 (0.11-3.31)

−0.3

 

larynx

43

14.10 (10.21-18.99)

22.3

7

69.05 (27.76-142.26)

11.6

 

bronchus, lung

201

7.90 (6.85-9.07)

98.1

42

12.36 (8.91-16.71)

65.0

 

kidney

17

2.11 (1.23-3.38)

5.0

2

1.27 (0.15-4.60)

0.7

 

urinary tract

3

2.82 (0.58-8.24)

1.1

-

-

-

 

urinary bladder

18

1.28 (0.76-2.02)

2.2

2

1.18 (0.14-4.28)

0.5

 

leukemia

14

3.03 (1.66-5.09)

5.2

2

1.59 (0.19-5.75)

1.25

oesophagus

mouth, pharynx

36

14.18 (9.93-19.64)

70.3

5

34.92 (11.34-81.48)

49.4

 

stomach

5

1.64 (0.53-3.82)

4.1

1

2.41 (0.06-13.42)

6.0

 

colon, rectum

23

1.99 (1.26-2.98)

24.0

6

3.70 (1.36-8.05)

44.5

 

pancreas

5

2.15 (0.70-5.01)

5.6

2

4.71 (0.57-17.00)

16.0

 

larynx

7

7.44 (2.99-15.33)

12.7

-

-

-

 

bronchus, lung

23

2.62 (1.66-3.92)

29.9

6

9.42 (3.46-20.50)

54.5

 

kidney

8

2.97 (1.28-5.86)

11.2

2

6.54 (0.79-23.62)

17.2

 

urinary tract

1

2.53 (0.06-14.12)

1.3

-

-

-

 

urinary bladder

12

2.34 (1.21-4.09)

14.4

1

3.07 (0.08-17.13)

6.9

 

leukemia

6

3.65 (1.34-7.94)

9.2

-

-

-

stomach

mouth, pharynx

6

0.97 (0.36-2.12)

−0.1

1

0.70 (0.02-3.91)

−0.4

 

oesophagus

8

2.07 (0.90-4.09)

3.3

1

1.56 (0.04-8.71)

0.4

 

colon, rectum

68

1.68 (1.30-2.13)

21.8

40

1.86 (1.33-2.54)

18.9

 

pancreas

17

2.09 (1.22-3.34)

7.0

13

2.24 (1.19-3.83)

7.3

 

larynx

3

1.18 (0.24-3.43)

0.4

-

-

-

 

bronchus, lung

33

1.15 (0.79-1.62)

3.5

9

1.34 (0.61-2.54)

2.3

 

kidney

19

2.26 (1.36-3.53)

8.4

6

1.66 (0.61-3.62)

2.4

 

urinary tract

1

0.65 (0.02-3.64)

−0.4

-

-

-

 

urinary bladder

17

0.87 (0.51-1.39)

−2.0

3

0.69 (0.14-2.01)

−1.4

 

leukemia

11

1.80 (0.90-3.22)

3.9

6

1.88 (0.69-4.09)

2.9

colon, rectum

mouth, pharynx

56

1.48 (1.12-1.92)

2.5

13

1.50 (0.80-2.56)

0.7

 

oesophagus

31

1.33 (0.91-1.89)

1.1

8

2.07 (0.89-4.08)

0.7

 

stomach

73

1.11 (0.87-1.40)

1.0

45

1.31 (0.96-1.75)

1.8

 

pancreas

43

0.92 (0.66-1.23)

−0.5

44

1.30 (0.94-1.74)

1.7

 

larynx

15

0.97 (0.54-1.60)

−0.1

-

-

-

 

bronchus, lung

210

1.26 (1.09-1.44)

5.8

60

1.47 (1.12-1.89)

3.3

 

kidney

85

1.71 (1.37-2.12)

4.8

36

1.67 (1.17-2.31)

2.5

 

urinary tract

12

1.40 (0.72-2.44)

0.5

7

1.86 (0.75-3.84)

0.6

 

urinary bladder

148

1.34 (1.13-1.58)

5.1

38

1.49 (1.06-2.05)

2.1

 

leukemia

59

1.71 (1.3-2.21)

3.3

32

1.73 (1.18-2.44)

2.3

pancreas

mouth, pharynx

1

0.47 (0.01-2.59)

−2.7

1

1.77 (0.04-9.87)

1.1

 

oesophagus

1

0.80 (0.02-4.48)

−0.6

-

-

-

 

stomach

9

2.91 (1.33-5.52)

14.1

7

3.60 (1.45-7.42)

12.7

 

colon, rectum

16

1.41 (0.81-2.29)

11.1

12

1.63 (0.84-2.84)

11.6

 

larynx

3

3.57 (0.74-10.43)

5.2

-

-

-

 

bronchus, lung

10

1.18 (0.57-2.18)

3.7

3

1.12 (0.23-3.26)

0.8

 

kidney

4

1.58 (0.43-4.04)

3.5

4

2.88 (0.79-7.39)

6.6

 

urinary bladder

7

1.36 (0.55-2.81)

4.5

-

-

-

 

leukemia

1

0.61 (0.02-3.40)

−1.5

2

1.82 (0.22-6.58)

2.26

larynx

mouth, pharynx

33

8.83 (6.08-12.41)

41.9

3

26.52 (5.47-77.51)

34.8

 

oesophagus

18

8.92 (5.28-14.09)

22.9

1

23.53 (0.60-131.09)

11.6

 

stomach

5

1.10 (0.36-2.57)

0.7

1

3.95 (0.10-22.03)

9.0

 

colon, rectum

18

1.05 (0.63-1.67)

1.3

-

-

-

 

pancreas

9

2.61 (1.19-4.95)

7.9

1

3.74 (0.09-20.82)

8.8

 

bronchus, lung

69

5.37 (4.18-6.80)

80.4

9

18.83 (8.61-35.75)

102.9

 

kidney

6

1.53 (0.56-3.32)

3.0

-

-

-

 

urinary tract

1

1.71 (0.04-9.53)

0.6

-

-

-

 

urinary bladder

10

1.31 (0.63-2.41)

3.4

1

4.79 (0.12-26.68)

9.6

 

leukemia

2

0.82 (0.10-2.97)

−0.6

-

-

-

bronchus, lung

mouth, pharynx

42

3.48 (2.51-4.71)

13.1

10

6.46 (3.10-11.88)

7.5

 

oesophagus

20

2.83 (1.73-4.37)

5.6

3

4.84 (1.00-14.14)

2.1

 

stomach

28

1.60 (1.06-2.31)

4.6

12

2.88 (1.49-5.03)

6.9

 

colon, rectum

71

1.10 (0.86-1.39)

2.8

17

1.02 (0.59-1.63)

0.3

 

pancreas

19

1.47 (0.89-2.30)

2.7

10

2.31 (1.11-4.24)

5.0

 

larynx

37

7.78 (5.48-10.72)

14.1

1

4.94 (0.12-27.50)

0.7

 

kidney

32

2.21 (1.51-3.12)

7.6

13

3.94 (2.10-6.74)

8.6

 

urinary tract

6

2.62 (0.96-5.71)

1.6

3

5.93 (1.22-17.33)

2.2

 

urinary bladder

63

2.15 (1.65-2.75)

14.7

9

2.69 (1.23-5.11)

5.0

 

leukemia

16

1.72 (0.98-2.80)

2.9

3

1.21 (0.25-3.53)

0.5

kidney

mouth, pharynx

10

1.11 (0.53-2.03)

0.5

1

0.62 (0.02-3.44)

−0.5

 

oesophagus

4

0.76 (0.21-1.95)

−0.7

-

-

-

 

stomach

15

1.14 (0.64-1.89)

1.1

5

0.90 (0.29-2.09)

−0.5

 

colon, rectum

51

1.06 (0.79-1.39)

1.5

25

1.17 (0.76-1.73)

3.2

 

pancreas

9

0.93 (0.42-1.76)

−0.4

5

0.87 (0.28-2.02)

−0.7

 

larynx

3

0.86 (0.18-2.50)

−0.3

1

5.08 (0.13-28.28)

0.7

 

bronchus, lung

54

1.51 (1.13-1.97)

10.1

16

2.06 (1.18-3.34)

7.1

 

urinary tract

3

1.75 (0.36-5.12)

0.7

3

4.47 (0.92-13.07)

2.0

 

urinary bladder

51

2.31 (1.72-3.03)

16.1

10

2.29 (1.10-4.21)

4.9

 

leukemia

12

1.72 (0.89-3.00)

2.8

2

0.63 (0.08-2.28)

−1.0

urinary tract

oesophagus

1

1.64 (0.04-9.15)

2.0

-

-

-

 

stomach

2

1.05 (0.13-3.80)

0.5

-

-

-

 

colon, rectum

12

1.84 (0.95-3.21)

28.5

4

1.21 (0.33-3.10)

4.9

 

pancreas

3

2.28 (0.47-6.66)

8.8

3

3.35 (0.69-9.78)

14.7

 

bronchus, lung

9

1.96 (0.89-3.72)

22.9

4

3.82 (1.04-9.77)

20.7

 

kidney

4

2.97 (0.81-7.60)

13.8

-

-

-

 

urinary bladder

5

1.58 (0.51-3.68)

9.5

12

17.84 (9.22-31.15)

79.3

 

leukemia

2

2.03 (0.25-7.32)

5.3

-

-

-

urinary bladder

mouth, pharynx

25

1.41 (0.91-2.08)

2.0

3

1.63 (0.34-4.77)

1.0

 

oesophagus

12

1.05 (0.54-1.83)

0.2

3

3.60 (0.74-10.53)

1.8

 

stomach

41

1.13 (0.81-1.53)

1.3

16

2.10 (1.20-3.40)

6.8

 

colon, rectum

144

1.16 (0.98-1.36)

5.5

26

0.95 (0.62-1.39)

−1.2

 

pancreas

31

1.24 (0.84-1.75)

1.7

6

0.80 (0.29-1.74)

−1.2

 

larynx

4

0.53 (0.15-1.36)

−1.0

-

-

-

 

bronchus, lung

187

2.16 (1.86-2.49)

27.9

25

2.87 (1.85-4.23)

13.3

 

kidney

77

3.04 (2.40-3.80)

14.4

12

2.56 (1.32-4.48)

6.0

 

urinary tract

7

1.47 (0.59-3.03)

0.6

6

7.26 (2.66-15.79)

4.2

 

leukemia

30

1.59 (1.07-2.27)

3.1

8

1.96 (0.85-3.87)

3.2

leukemia

mouth, pharynx

3

0.73 (0.15-2.13)

−1.2

2

2.42 (0.29-8.73)

1.8

 

oesophagus

5

2.10 (0.68-4.89)

2.9

-

-

-

 

stomach

9

1.43 (0.66-2.72)

3.0

4

1.50 (0.41-3.84)

2.0

 

colon, rectum

27

1.19 (0.79-1.74)

4.8

14

1.37 (0.75-2.30)

5.8

 

pancreas

6

1.32 (0.48-2.87)

1.6

4

1.48 (0.40-3.78)

2.0

 

larynx

1

0.63 (0.02-3.48)

−0.7

-

-

-

 

bronchus, lung

27

1.63 (1.08-2.38)

11.5

7

1.83 (0.74-3.77)

4.8

 

kidney

7

1.40 (0.56-2.89)

2.2

-

-

-

 

urinary tract

3

3.68 (0.76-10.76)

2.4

-

-

-

 

urinary bladder

11

1.05 (0.52-1.87)

0.5

4

1.94 (0.53-4.97)

3.0

  1. O, number of observed cases; SIR, standardized incidence ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; EAR, excess absolute risk per 10,000; bold type, SIR significantly different from one.