Goodness of fit | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Singapore | Sweden | Geneva | ||||||||||
(Negative binomial) | (Negative binomial) | (Poisson) | ||||||||||
Model | Res Dev* | Df# | AIC§ | P-value | Res Dev | DF | AIC | P-value | Res Dev | DF | AIC | P-value |
Age (A) | 13.5 | 42 | 402 | 0.999 | 1.1079 | 42 | 641 | 0.999 | 72.0 | 42 | 282 | 0.003 |
Age-Drift (AD) | 13.3 | 41 | 404 | 0.999 | 1.1077 | 41 | 643 | 0.999 | 40.4 | 41 | 252 | 0.495 |
Age-Period (AP) | 8.7 | 36 | 409 | 0.999 | 0.71 | 36 | 653 | 0.999 | 32.4 | 36 | 254 | 0.642 |
Age-Cohort (AC) | 6.9 | 30 | 419 | 0.999 | 0.50 | 30 | 665 | 0.999 | 34.1 | 35 | 263 | 0.512 |
Full APC | 5.0 | 25 | 428 | 0.999 | 0.28 | 25 | 674 | 0.999 | 27.6 | 30 | 267 | 0.594 |
Likelihood ratio test | ||||||||||||
Model (H 0 vs H 1 ) | Dev | DF | P-value | Dev | DF | P-value | Dev | DF | P-value | |||
AP vs APC | 3.7 | 11 | 0.979 | 0.43 | 11 | 0.999 | 4.8 | 6 | 0.570 | |||
AC vs APC | 1.9 | 5 | 0.869 | 0.22 | 5 | 0.999 | 6.5 | 5 | 0.258 |