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Table 7 Univariate sensitivity analysis parameters and ranges

From: Cost-effectiveness analysis of pemetrexed versus docetaxel in the second-line treatment of non-small cell lung cancer in Spain: results for the non-squamous histology population

Univariate Sensitivity Parameter

Min

Max

Discount rate (baseline = 3% for costs, 3% for benefits)

0%

6%

All costs (excluding chemotherapy drugs) varied by ± 25% (baseline = 100%)

75%

125%

Chemotherapy drugs varied by ± 25% (baseline = 100%)

75%

125%

All costs varied by +/- 25% (baseline = 100%)

75%

125%

Per vial costing with 100 mg and 500 mg pemetrexed vials available

-

-

Mean body surface area (BSA) in m2

1.6

2

Chemotherapy administration time varied +/- 50% (baseline = 100%)

50%

150%

Hospital days for AE varied +/- 50% (baseline = 100%)

50%

150%

Exclude BSC costs for treated patients once they complete treatment or enter progression

-

-

Cost of febrile neutropenia varied by +/- 25% (baseline = 100%)

€ 2483

€4139

Disutility assigned to AEs varied +/- 50% (baseline = 100%)

50%

150%

Assume no disutility assigned to AEs (so only have a cost impact in model)

-

-

Utility weights assigned to health states varied between upper and lower 95% CI

0.60 stable/response

0.50with an AE

0.72stable/response

0.66with an AE

95% CI for response rate for PEM (base case = 10.78%)

7.25%

15.80%

95% CI for response rate for DOC (base case = 8.81%)

5.59%

13.66%

95% CI for survival hazard ratio for PEM vs. DOC (base case = 0.778)

0.607

0.997

95% CI for progression free survival hazard ratio for PEM vs. DOC (base case = 0.823)

0.664

1.020

Assume weighted terminal/palliative care cost

€6927

-

Model time horizon set to 1 year (baseline = 3 years)

-

-

Setting cost of fatigue to zero

-

-

Duration of treatment (no. of cycles; base case = 6)

4

5

  1. AE: adverse event; BSC: best supportive care; CI: confidential interval; PEM: pemetrexed; DOC: docetaxel
  2. A univariate sensitivity analysis was conducted to test which parameters the cost-effectiveness ratio was sensitive to. Table 7 shows the ranges within which each parameter was varied.